Justin Jefferson
24-Year-Old
2023 Receiving Stats
REC
68
YDS
1074
TD
5
AVG
15.8
TAR
100
2024 Projections
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Jefferson, Randy Moss and Odell Beckham are the only players to reach 4,000 receiving yards in their first three NFL seasons, and Jefferson is more than 650 yards clear of the other two after leading the NFL with 1,809 last year. The 22nd overall pick from the 2020 draft has neatly progressed from 1,400 to 1,600 to 1,800 yards each year while catching at least 64.7 percent of his targets for at least 9.7 YPT each season. Jefferson is only slightly above league average for WRs in terms of size (6-1, 195) and timed speed (4.43 40), but he's otherwise elite when it comes to route-running, ball skills and general feel for the game. He rapidly surpassed veteran Vikings wideout Adam Thielen, who was released this offseason and signed with Carolina. Thielen's departure might mean even more defensive attention on Jefferson, but it could also mean even more targets in a passing game that otherwise features first-round WR Jordan Addison, TE T.J. Hockenson and WR KJ Osborn. Boasting the highest non-injury floor of anyone in the player pool, Jefferson quickly emerged as the most popular No. 1 overall pick in early 2023 drafts. While one might argue there are a few running backs with more upside, we also have to consider that a 2,000-yard season is within Jefferson's range of possibilities. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Stellar performance to end season
Jefferson brought in 12 of 14 targets for 192 yards and a touchdown and rushed once for minus-12 yards in the Vikings' 30-20 loss the Lions on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
The Vikings were eliminated from postseason contention with the loss, but Jefferson certainly finished off the season in grand fashion. The ultra-talented wideout terrorized the Lions secondary throughout the afternoon, comfortably leading Minnesota in receptions, receiving yards and targets while also recording a nifty 38-yard touchdown grab. Jefferson's totals were also season highs across the board, and with the prolific afternoon, he finishes the season with 1,074 receiving yards in only 10 games despite having played with four different quarterbacks.
The Vikings were eliminated from postseason contention with the loss, but Jefferson certainly finished off the season in grand fashion. The ultra-talented wideout terrorized the Lions secondary throughout the afternoon, comfortably leading Minnesota in receptions, receiving yards and targets while also recording a nifty 38-yard touchdown grab. Jefferson's totals were also season highs across the board, and with the prolific afternoon, he finishes the season with 1,074 receiving yards in only 10 games despite having played with four different quarterbacks.
NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Justin Jefferson's 2023 advanced stats compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank.
The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
Air Yards Per Game
129.3Air Yards Per Snap
2.46% Team Air Yards
27.4%% Team Targets
16.6%Avg Depth of Target
12.8 YdsCatch Rate
68.0%Drop Rate
4.0%Avg Yds After Catch
4.0% Targeted On Route
25.9%Avg Yds Per Route Run
2.78Loading Advanced NFL Stats...
2023
2022
2021
2020
2023 NFL Game Log
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Justin Jefferson lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
Detailed
Grouped
Side
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2023 Justin Jefferson Split Stats
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Measurables Review
View College Player Page
How do Justin Jefferson's measurables compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 1"Weight
195 lbs40-Yard Dash
4.43 secVertical Jump
37.5 inBroad Jump
126 inHand Length
9.13 inArm Length
33.00 in
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Skipping voluntary program
Jefferson won't be present for the start of the Vikings' voluntary offseason program, which kicks off Monday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.
ANALYSIS
The superstar wide receiver is looking for a contract extension as he heads into the final year of his current deal, which is set to pay him $19.74 million in 2024. While this doesn't yet qualify as a holdout, Jefferson is sending an early signal that things could get contentious between him and the team if a new contract isn't worked out soon.
The superstar wide receiver is looking for a contract extension as he heads into the final year of his current deal, which is set to pay him $19.74 million in 2024. While this doesn't yet qualify as a holdout, Jefferson is sending an early signal that things could get contentious between him and the team if a new contract isn't worked out soon.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
On a per-target basis, Jefferson's second NFL season (9.7 YPT) wasn't quite as dominant as
his first (11.2). But that's nitpicking; the bigger picture shows he added 42 targets from the
previous year and was still one of the most efficient wideouts in the league. Only 11 produced
more yards per target, and that includes four who saw 70 or fewer passes. Jefferson finished
fourth among WRs in targets and catches, second in receiving yards and tied for sixth in
touchdowns. The 23-year-old often makes it look easy, seemingly playing both bigger and faster
than his on-paper metrics suggest (6-1, 195, 4.43 40, 37.5-inch vertical). From a fantasy
standpoint, there's just as much to like, with Jefferson playing in an above-average offense that
has enough weapons to keep defenses honest but nobody to challenge him as the go-to guy.
Jefferson surpassed Adam Thielen for that honor mid-2020, and while the 31-year-old Thielen
scored 10 touchdowns last year, he saw 2.5 fewer targets per game than his young running
mate (9.8 to 7.3). If anything, the split could go even more in Jefferson's direction this year,
though there is another variable with new head coach Kevin O'Connell arriving from the Rams.
Other than that, stability is the story, with QB Kirk Cousins and RB Dalvin Cook joining
Jefferson, Thielen and TE Irv Smith to form one of the league's more well-rounded groups of
skill-position players.
More Fantasy News
Poor QB play affects line
Jefferson finished with five receptions on 10 targets for 59 yards in Sunday's 33-10 loss to the Packers.
ANALYSIS
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Goes off for 141 yards plus score
Jefferson corralled six of 10 targets for 141 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 30-24 loss to the Lions.
ANALYSIS
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Building back momentum
Jefferson caught seven passes for 84 yards on 10 targets in the 27-24 overtime loss to the Bengals on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Suiting up Saturday
Jefferson (chest) is listed as active for Saturday's game at Cincinnati.
ANALYSIS
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Status in question for Saturday
Jefferson (chest) is listed as questionable for Saturday's game at Cincinnati.
ANALYSIS
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